James Madison
W-L: (14- 7) PR = 90.8646Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 11-19 211 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 13- 7 214 N Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 13-11 222 A Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 8-12 303 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 10-12 307 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 6-13 311 A Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 16- 4 314 H East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 16-10 321 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 7- 9 325 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 11-10 328 H Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 16-10 331 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 11-12 404 A UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 20-10 408 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 13- 7 414 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 14- 9 418 H Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 14- 9 425 A Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 19- 7 430 N East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 9- 7 502 N South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 17- 7 508 N Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 13-12 510 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 5-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H North Carolina 11-19 -8 -8 -0.33
211 H Virginia Tech 13- 7 6 5 0.89
214 N Connecticut 13-11 2 6 - -3.56
222 A Cornell 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.75
303 A Johns Hopkins 10-12 -2 -5 + 2.73
307 A Maryland 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.84
311 A Liberty 16- 4 12 8 ++ 4.18
314 H East Carolina 16-10 6 9 - -2.70
321 A South Florida 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.79
325 A Virginia 11-10 1 -1 + 2.06
328 H Temple 16-10 6 6 0.25
331 A Pittsburgh 11-12 -1 1 -1.79
404 A UNC-Charlotte 20-10 10 11 -0.62
408 H Georgetown 13- 7 6 2 + 3.73
414 A Richmond 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.48
418 H Vanderbilt 14- 9 5 7 - -2.04
425 A Old Dominion 19- 7 12 13 -1.33
430 N East Carolina 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.33
502 N South Florida 17- 7 10 2 +++ 7.84
508 N Notre Dame 13-12 1 -3 + 3.51
510 A Northwestern 5-17 -12 -7 -- -4.58
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 N East Carolina 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.33 510 A Northwestern 5-17 -12 -7 -- -4.58 214 N Connecticut 13-11 2 6 - -3.56 222 A Cornell 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.75 307 A Maryland 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.84 314 H East Carolina 16-10 6 9 - -2.70 321 A South Florida 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.79 418 H Vanderbilt 14- 9 5 7 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 N South Florida 17- 7 10 2 +++ 7.84 311 A Liberty 16- 4 12 8 ++ 4.18 414 A Richmond 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.48 303 A Johns Hopkins 10-12 -2 -5 + 2.73 325 A Virginia 11-10 1 -1 + 2.06 408 H Georgetown 13- 7 6 2 + 3.73 508 N Notre Dame 13-12 1 -3 + 3.51 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 11-19 -0.00 40.17 -1.37 0.82 -0.56
3 H Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 13- 7 -12.77 27.39 -1.37 0.82 42.94
3 N Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 13-11 -14.59 25.58 -0.00 0.82 42.20
3 A Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 8-12 -9.15 31.02 1.37 0.82 -3.21
3 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 10-12 -5.68 34.49 1.37 0.82 -1.78
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 6-13 -6.24 33.92 1.37 0.82 -2.01
3 A Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 16- 4 -18.22 21.95 1.37 0.82 38.46
3 H East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 16-10 -16.36 23.80 -1.37 0.82 37.01
3 A South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 7- 9 -11.20 28.97 1.37 0.82 -4.05
3 A Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 11-10 -9.34 30.82 1.37 0.82 53.11
3 H Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 16-10 -13.42 26.75 -1.37 0.82 41.87
3 A Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 11-12 -11.19 28.97 1.37 0.82 -4.05
3 A UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 20-10 -21.02 19.15 1.37 0.82 33.85
3 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 13- 7 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 0.82 47.61
3 A Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 14- 9 -9.93 30.24 1.37 0.82 52.15
3 H Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 14- 9 -14.71 25.46 -1.37 0.82 39.74
3 A Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 19- 7 -23.74 16.43 1.37 0.82 29.36
3 N East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 9- 7 -16.36 23.80 -0.00 0.82 39.27
3 N South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 17- 7 -11.20 28.97 -0.00 0.82 47.80
3 N Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 13-12 -6.52 33.65 -0.00 0.82 55.51
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 5-17 -2.98 37.18 1.37 0.82 -0.67
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584.56
|
winning pts = 600.8928 losing points = -16.3367
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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